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Fifth National Climate Assessment - Read the Report

Multi-Scale Economic Methodologies and Scenarios Workshop

In a workshop on April 20 and 21, 2016, USGCRP's SISCG brought together 20 experts from the federal government, the national laboratories, and academia to tackle the overarching science question:  How might the economic character of the United States evolve at time scales ranging from annual to decadal, at spatial scales ranging from national to local, and  taking into account the multitude of drivers and stressors that could shape the path, e.g. climate change, demographics, migration, and technology? The workshop was coordinated and supported by USGCRP member agencies, including the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) and U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). The group of experts discussed leveraging opportunities in the shorter term using existing methods and models and outlining a path toward development of economic scenarios that are scientifically defensible, and independent of, but consistent with other efforts. In the longer term, the group discussed research opportunities that would allow the development of a fully realized integrated system of methods and scenarios, with interactions and feedbacks between physical and economic domains, across sectors, and at geographic and temporal scales of interest. This workshop report summarizes discussions from the workshop and serves as a technical input to the SISCG for strategy formulation and research planning.