Highlights

Since 1989, the U.S. Global Change Research Program (USGCRP) has submitted annual reports to Congress called Our Changing Planet. The reports describe the status of USGCRP research activities, provide progress updates, and document recent accomplishments.

In particular, Our Changing Planet highlights progress and accomplishments in interagency activities. These highlights represent the broad spectrum of USGCRP activities that extend from Earth system observations, modeling, and fundamental research through synthesis and assessment, decision support, education, and public engagement.

The oceans have absorbed almost all of the excess heat generated by increasing atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations and a large fraction of anthropogenic carbon dioxide, with profound implications for ecosystems and the climate system. Ship-based hydrographic surveys are the only current means for simultaneously measuring physical, biological, and biogeochemical properties of the global oceans from the surface to the seafloor and are a crucial resource for understanding ocean change and its role in the climate system. Building on global hydrographic surveys underway since the...

Atmospheric composition and circulation over the tropical western Pacific Ocean play important roles in the Earth’s climate system. In this remote region, rising air heated by some of the warmest seawater in the world moves gases produced by ocean organisms and other chemicals to higher altitudes, where water vapor and ozone exert their strongest influence on the climate. As the climate warms, the intensity of this transport mechanism will increase and may contribute to large-scale changes in atmospheric composition. Details of these dynamics, including how they vary over time and space,...

Over the Great Plains region of the United States, summertime thunderstorms often occur after sunset. Much of this nighttime rainfall is caused by large, organized storm systems and plays a critical role in the hydrology and agriculture of the region, especially over the more arid western Great Plains. During the summer months, these nighttime storm systems provide 30-70% of the region’s precipitation and can also cause severe weather, including flash floods, intense damaging winds, and large hail. Current weather and climate models have difficulty predicting the onset, location, frequency...

Studying Northern-Ecosystem Response to a Changing Climate

Northern peatlands contain vast organic carbon stocks in danger of release into the atmosphere as greenhouse gases as the climate warms, leading to a positive-feedback cycle of further warming and carbon release. Through field experiments in a Minnesota peat bog, DOE’s Oak Ridge National Laboratory, the USDA Forest Service (USDA-FS), and EPA are collaborating alongside university partners to test how peatland ecosystems respond to conditions that simulate the atmosphere of the future, and improve the ability to predict the release of stored carbon and its impact on climate warming. The...

As of 2010, urban areas are home to more than half of the world's population, produce at least 70% of carbon-dioxide emissions from fossil fuels, and emit a significant amount of anthropogenic methane, but represent a small fraction of the Earth’s land surface. Currently, greenhouse gas emissions estimates for many cities are either unavailable or are generated using self-reported data from particular sectors, and contain significant uncertainties. Although methods for comprehensive measurement of urban emissions have been tested in smaller cities with stable emissions, these techniques...

Tracking Earth's Carbon and Methane Budgets

Founded in 2001, the Global Carbon Project (GCP) is an international scientific collaboration investigating the biophysical and human components of the global carbon cycle, the interactions between them, and their response to a changing climate. The GCP tracks sources and sinks of carbon dioxide and methane, the two most important greenhouse gases directly emitted by human activities—providing annual updates on emissions trends, atmospheric concentrations, and sources of uncertainty, in a format accessible to policymakers....

Recent evidence has revealed that the Antarctic and Greenland ice sheets are not as static as once thought. Accelerated ice loss from the Greenland Ice Sheet, disintegrating ice shelves around Antarctica, and signs that several marine-terminating glaciers in Antarctica have begun an irreversible retreat all signal that changes are taking place faster than was thought possible. Ice sheets are projected to contribute significantly to global sea-level rise, which poses dramatic risks for coastal communities and island nations worldwide. In response to these rapid changes, several USGCRP...

As climate change increasingly impacts society and ecosystems, demand for reliable information about climate conditions now and in the future is growing. Climate research is conducted by two distinct communities, one working on climate forecasts for the near-term future and the other on climate-change projections over decades to centuries. Despite these different foci, the boundaries between these two communities increasingly overlap, and they share many common methods and challenges. Enhanced collaboration across modeling centers and communities can help create more valuable climate-...

Reducing the Health Risks of Extreme Heat

Awareness surrounding the connection between climate change and human health is growing. USGCRP’s The Impacts of Climate Change on Human Health in the United States: A Scientific Assessment projected a potential increase of “thousands to tens of thousands of premature heat-related deaths in the summer” by 2100, driven by longer, more frequent, and more intense heat waves.

The National Integrated Heat Health Information System (NIHHIS), launched...

Building Regional Collaboration for Drought Resilience

In 2015, drought impacts in the Western United States cost an estimated $4.5 billion. Impacts included the fallowing of hundreds of thousands of acres of farmland, excess groundwater pumping, and the exacerbation of wildfire conditions, which contributed to fires that caused the highest annual total of U.S. acreage burned since record-keeping began in 1960. As these impacts become more prevalent under a changing climate, preparedness, including an early-warning system for drought conditions, is increasingly important in many parts of the United States. The...

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Highlights

Measuring Change at Sea

Connecting the Remote Ocean to Global Climate

Studying Thunderstorms by Night

Studying Northern-Ecosystem Response to a Changing Climate

Monitoring Urban Emissions Hotspots

Tracking Earth’s Carbon and Methane Budgets

Modeling Ice Sheets and Sea-Level Rise

Improving Climate Predictability

Reducing the Health Risks of Extreme Heat

Building Regional Collaboration for Drought Resilience