Projected Changes in Snow, Runoff, and Soil Moisture

Projected Changes in Snow, Runoff, and Soil Moisture

These projections, assuming continued increases in heat-trapping gas emissions (A2 scenario; Ch. 2: Our Changing Climate), illustrate: a) major losses in the water content of the snowpack that fills western rivers (snow water equivalent, or SWE); b) significant reductions in runoff in California, Arizona, and the central Rocky Mountains; and c) reductions in soil moisture across the Southwest. The changes shown are for mid-century (2041-2070) as percentage changes from 1971-2000 conditions (Figure source: Cayan et al. 201359cf5a07-b64b-418c-acc6-73b7ff4d7d7e).

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Physical Climate, Scenarios, Modeling, Water Resources