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“You
can argue if you want to about whether global warming is or isn't
happening and what's causing it. But the fact is, you and your
children are going to live and work in the environment of the
future, and the climate will affect what you do and how you do
it.â€
—Dick
Lehnert, The Farmer´s Exchange
Mini Workshop #3: Agricultural Productivity - March 22, 2002 East Lansing, Michigan
Agenda (html / pdf)
Speaker Presentations
Q&A Periods
Workshop Report (Paper report available on request)
Invitation or Flyer
Press Release
Co-Sponsors
Others (ex. video)
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Climate Change and Agriculture in the Great Lakes Region: The Potential Impacts & What We Can Do
Farmers, landowners, Michigan Farmer´s Buerau, MSU extension
agents, members of various specialty crops and fruit commissions
(potato, cherry, bean, celery), Michigan Environmental Council, and
others—about 70 people attended the Climate Change and Agriculture in
the Great Lakes Region: The Potential Impacts and What We Can Do
workshop at Michigan State University in East Lansing on March 22, 2002.
Meteorologists, from the Great Lakes Regional
Assessment, outlined some of the things from studying the climate
models: Today, we see about 10-20 hot summer days in Michigan with
temperatures over 90 degrees (°F). We may see 45 hot summer days in the
future and in some years, the whole 90 days of summer could remain over
90 degrees.
Longer, warmer summers will be particularly good
for Michigan soybeans farmers, who might now consider doublecropping
soybeans after wheat, as they now do in Southern Illinois. Increased
soybean yield is probably due not only to warmer temperatures, but also
to an increase in carbon dioxide and to a longer growing season. Grape
grower Doug Welsch from Fenn Valley Vineyards in Fennville said that he
is planting varieties today he would have rejected as “too tender†when
he started his farm 29 years ago. The growing season may increase by
12-20 days by 2034, according to a study by Julie Winkler and Jeff
Andresen (MSU).
On the other hand, Michigan's cool summer climate
which produces 75 percent of the nation's cherries is likely to be at
risk. Warm, late falls, for example, delay onset of winter acclimation
and can reduce cold hardiness. “If we still get very cold weather events
in winter, they hurt us more,†said Jim Nugent, coordinator of the
Northwest Michigan Horticultural Research Station, Traverse City.
Grapes, peaches, and sweet cherries don't like extremely low winter
temperatures.
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